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One Month Does Not A Trend Make – A Word On National Inventories

Posted on Saturday, March 23, 2013

I am puzzled by a recent report from the National Association Of Realtors claiming national inventories are at 4.7 months (see In the article they go on to say “A more important number in the report may be the supply of homes for sale. That rose to 4.7 months, at the current pace of sales, up from 4.3 months in January, NAR says.’
Interesting  – especially with the “pace of sales comment.”  I would be a little careful with any conclusions based on one month worth of data. Why? Can you really take one month’s results, multiply by twelve and come up with an annual trend?  I doubt it.  Even the article goes on to say “seasonality” may have caused the difference.
So what? Well the so what is inventory statistics do matter and tell us a bit about possible seller and buyer attitudes. It helps coach buyers and sellers to more or less aggressive behaviors in negotiations and pricing and may give us clues to future trends. And … you need to know the numbers by neighborhood, not just by town and certainly by nation.
So what gives in Naples? We are doing ok. Inventories this morning in the All Naples Area in the Sunshine MLS stood at 7.1 months with 5,443 properties for sale and 9,172 properties sold in the last twelve months. Neither a buyers or sellers market across town. But be careful, lots of inventory in Port Royal and Olde Naples but not so much in other areas.

Know your numbers and get with a good Realtor. Want to know more about innovative ways to market your property? Give us a call.

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No legal, investment, or tax advice is being given in this Blog.  Consult with legal, financial and tax professionals before acting on any real estate transaction.  Actual real estate price and sales results are subject to market forces and are not completely predictable. The writings of this Blog are intended for the sole use of our clients.
Some of the data relating to Naples homes for sale and Naples real estate for sale on the website comes in part from the Broker reciprocity program of M.L.S. of Naples, Inc. The properties displayed here may not be all the properties available through the MLS reciprocity Program. This information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. Buyers and sellers are responsible for verifying all information about their purchase prior to closing.
Mark Goebel, PA is a REALTOR with Coldwell Banker on 5th avenue in Naples, Florida with 35+ years of visiting and living in Naples. After 25 years at Accenture, Mark retired as a managing director and spends his time helping non profits and building a Naples real estate team with his wife Nan. Talk to Mark and Nan about life in Naples and why they chose this place to live full-time over all others and enjoy Naples real estate.
Mark Goebel, PA
REALTOR Coldwell Banker 5th Avenue South
Mobile: 239.595.3921
Facebook: NaplesBestAddresses